Normal Distribiution meet Fibonacci Ratio

Cuba tinguk ratio Fibonacci ni

0.0%,23.6%,38.2%,50.00%,61.8%, 76.4%, 100.0%,127.0% 161.8%

untuk mempermudahkan nombor-nombor ini diingat,kita ubah sedikit nombor ni..

0
23.6 + 1.4
38.2 + 1.8
50.0
61.8 - 1.8
76.4 - 1.4
100.0
127.0 - 2
161.8 - 1.8
261.8 - 1.8
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Senarai baru kita dapat yang lagi mudah untuk diingat

0
25
40
50
60
75
100
125
160
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Sekarang bila kita dapat melihat nombor-nombor Fibonacci dengan mudah, maka mental calculation untuk mendapatkan ratio boleh dibuat tanpa menggunakan calculator.

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market

kita bahagikan kepada 3
High range daily Candlestick
mid range daily Candlestick
low range daily Candlestick


Potensi Fibo retrace mengikut market
High range daily Candlestick = 76.4%, 61.8%
mid range daily Candlestick = 61.8%, 50.0%
low range daily Candlestick = 38.1%, 23.6%

==========
alternatif untuk memudahkan memori
High range daily Candlestick = 75, 60
mid range daily Candlestick = 60, 50
low range daily Candlestick = 40, 25

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cadangan Stop lost
alternatif untuk memudahkan memori
High range daily Candlestick = 75, 60 (50,40)
mid range daily Candlestick = 60, 50 (40,25)
low range daily Candlestick = 40, 25 (0,-25)

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Ratio jika exit di 125 (level alternatif)
alternatif untuk memudahkan memori
High range daily Candlestick = 75, 60 (50,40)
= (125-75)/(75-50) = 50/25 = 2:1
= (125-75)/(75-40) = 50/35 = 1.43 : 1

= (125-60)/(60-50) = 65/10 = 6.5:1
= (125-60)/(60-40) = 65/20 = 3.25:1

mid range daily Candlestick = 60, 50 (40,25)
low range daily Candlestick = 40, 25 (0,-25)


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Normal distribution

Trading ada 2 keputusan
Win or Lost

0.5 win, 0.5 lost
Katakan kita membuat trading sebanyak 1000 kali.. maka
keputusan win dan lost akan mendekati 1000 x 0.5, 1000 x 0.5 = 500, 500 = win, lost

Standard deviation
atas = 60%
bawah = 40%

maka kombinasi paling mungkin win dan lost dalam trading ialah
0.60 x 1000, 0.40 x 1000 = 600, 400 = win,lost ; above average
0.50 x 1000, 0.50 x 1000 = 500, 500 = win,lost ; average
0.40 x 1000, 0.60 x 1000 = 400, 600 = win,lost ; below average

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(bersambung)